Люди на пособии
2025-07-04 01:31![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png){kind=small}
vakНарод в сети страстно ругает/хвалит новый закон, проталкиваемый Трампом, так называемый OBBBA. Там всё сложно и больше похоже на запудривание мозгов, чем на что-то полезное. Для прояснения ситуации я попытал Грока и набрёл на картинку про неработающих и не желающих работать.
In 2025, ~10–15 million people (~3–5% of the U.S. population) likely live solely on social benefits (e.g., SNAP, SSI/SSDI, TANF) without earned income and don’t seek work, including ~5–7 million disabled, ~3–5 million SNAP recipients (e.g., caregivers, elderly), and ~0.5–1 million TANF/other recipients. The number has fluctuated: ~12–17 million (2010–2015), ~10–14 million (2019), ~12–18 million (2021), and ~10–15 million (2025). Trends reflect economic cycles, disability growth, and policy shifts. OBBBA’s 2026 work requirements may reduce this by ~1–2 million by 2034.
Но это все, включая инвалидов, беременных, матерей с маленькими детьми, пенсионеров и ухаживающих за ними. Давайте вычеркнем эти категории и оставим только имеющих возможность трудиться.
In 2025, ~1.1–2.2 million people (~0.7–1.4% of the labor force) are workforce-eligible, able-bodied adults living solely on social benefits (primarily SNAP, some TANF), with no earned income and not seeking work. This is a sharp reduction from the prior ~10–15 million estimate, as it excludes those unable to work (e.g., disabled, caregivers). Numbers have trended downward from ~2–3 million (2010) to ~1–2 million (2019), with spikes in 2021 (~1.5–2.5 million) and stability in 2025 (~1.1–2.2 million). OBBBA’s 2026 work requirements could cut this to ~0.5–1 million by 2034.
Не знаю, можно ли доверять цифрам от ИИ, но тенденция любопытная.
In 2025, ~10–15 million people (~3–5% of the U.S. population) likely live solely on social benefits (e.g., SNAP, SSI/SSDI, TANF) without earned income and don’t seek work, including ~5–7 million disabled, ~3–5 million SNAP recipients (e.g., caregivers, elderly), and ~0.5–1 million TANF/other recipients. The number has fluctuated: ~12–17 million (2010–2015), ~10–14 million (2019), ~12–18 million (2021), and ~10–15 million (2025). Trends reflect economic cycles, disability growth, and policy shifts. OBBBA’s 2026 work requirements may reduce this by ~1–2 million by 2034.
Но это все, включая инвалидов, беременных, матерей с маленькими детьми, пенсионеров и ухаживающих за ними. Давайте вычеркнем эти категории и оставим только имеющих возможность трудиться.
In 2025, ~1.1–2.2 million people (~0.7–1.4% of the labor force) are workforce-eligible, able-bodied adults living solely on social benefits (primarily SNAP, some TANF), with no earned income and not seeking work. This is a sharp reduction from the prior ~10–15 million estimate, as it excludes those unable to work (e.g., disabled, caregivers). Numbers have trended downward from ~2–3 million (2010) to ~1–2 million (2019), with spikes in 2021 (~1.5–2.5 million) and stability in 2025 (~1.1–2.2 million). OBBBA’s 2026 work requirements could cut this to ~0.5–1 million by 2034.
Не знаю, можно ли доверять цифрам от ИИ, но тенденция любопытная.
no subject
Date: 2025-07-04 10:43 (UTC)no subject
Date: 2025-07-04 12:10 (UTC)Искусственный интеллект, как обычно, несёт отсебятину. В 2020 году был огромный скачок в уровне безработицы из-за ковида, а на графике его нет.
no subject
Date: 2025-07-04 20:40 (UTC)no subject
Date: 2025-07-04 23:30 (UTC)Зачем искать новую работу, если платят пособие по безработице и обещают, что это временно, на две недели. Особенно когда остановлены индустрии целиком.
no subject
Date: 2025-07-04 23:47 (UTC)no subject
Date: 2025-07-04 23:55 (UTC)Some of the normal rules have been suspended for workers who apply for unemployment benefits because of COVID-19: